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TROPICAL WEATHER UPDATES


ATLANTIC OCEAN & CARIBBEAN SEA
ABNT20 KNHC 262339
YUCATAN & QUINTANA ROO, MEXICO 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sun Sep 26 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Sam, located several hundred miles east of Lesser Antilles.

Showers and thunderstorms have become a little better organized 
today in association with a surface trough (the remnants of 
Peter) located several hundred miles southeast of Bermuda. 
Upper-level winds are marginally conducive for further
development, and Peter could become a tropical depression again 
during the next couple of days while it moves northeastward at 
about 10 mph. By midweek, environmental conditions are expected to 
become unfavorable for further development. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa on 
Monday.  Upper-level winds are forecast to be conducive for gradual 
development thereafter, and a tropical depression is likely to 
form in a few days while the system moves westward to west- 
northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the far eastern tropical 
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

A broad area of low pressure appears to be be forming several 
hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands.  Environmental 
conditions are forecast to support further development of this 
disturbance, and a tropical depression is likely to form around 
midweek while it moves westward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.


Forecaster Blake
Tropical Storm names already used for this season: Ana, Bill, Claudette, Danny, Elsa, Fred, Grace, Henry, Ida, Julian, Kate, Larry, Mindy, Nicholas, Odette, Peter, Rose, Sam, Teresa.

Images and information of: National Hurricane Center :::: Servicio Meteorologico Nacional (Mexico)

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